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Intelligence

Real-time prediction market data. Track probabilities, volume, and sentiment across crypto and global events.

Markets77
Total Volume$83.3M
Updated07:22 AM UTC

Crypto — Daily

Closing Today · 13

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

VOL $21.6MLIQ $245.3K

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

13%
87%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

VOL $1.3MLIQ $30.9K

Kraken IPO in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

0%
100%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

UK election called by...?

VOL $737.9KLIQ $4.1K

Will the next UK election be called by March 31?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will the next UK election be called by December 31?

0%
100%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

China x India military clash by...?

VOL $212.6KLIQ $17.1K

China x India military clash by December 31?

0%
100%
YesNo

China x India military clash by June 30?

0%
100%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

VOL $267.2KLIQ $20.0K

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?

5%
96%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Starmer out by...?

VOL $10.1MLIQ $176.4K

Starmer out in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

45%
56%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Ukraine election called by...?

VOL $1.4MLIQ $18.1K

Ukraine election called in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

11%
89%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Will any country leave NATO by...?

VOL $415.8KLIQ $13.4K

Will any country leave NATO in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

4%
96%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Ukraine election held by...?

VOL $2.0MLIQ $22.6K

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?

6%
95%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Harvey Weinstein prison time?

VOL $550.3KLIQ $14.9K

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

30%
70%
YesNo

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

18%
82%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

VOL $228.0KLIQ $9.7K

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?

1%
99%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

VOL $5.6MLIQ $130.9K

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?

0%
100%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Spain snap election called by...?

VOL $127.9KLIQ $7.3K

Spain snap election called in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?

12%
89%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Crypto — Weekly

This Week · 1

BitBoy convicted?

VOL $196.9KLIQ $8.0K
11%
89%
YesNo
Closes: Mar 31, 2026

Crypto — Monthly

This Month · 6

Macron out by...?

VOL $1.9MLIQ $38.4K

Macron out in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

3%
97%
YesNo
Closes: Jun 30, 2026

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

VOL $2.3MLIQ $38.6K

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

4%
96%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2026

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

VOL $2.0MLIQ $4.7K

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31?

1%
99%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2026

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

VOL $90.5KLIQ $13.4K

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?

0%
100%
YesNo

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?

3%
98%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2026

What will happen before GTA VI?

VOL $19.4MLIQ $1.5M

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

56%
45%
YesNo

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

65%
36%
YesNo
Closes: Jul 31, 2026

GTA VI released before June 2026?

VOL $12.8MLIQ $42.4K
2%
98%
YesNo
Closes: May 31, 2026

All Crypto Markets

20 events
Sort

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

VOL $21.6MLIQ $245.3K

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

13%
87%
YesNo

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

0%
100%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

What will happen before GTA VI?

VOL $19.4MLIQ $1.5M

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

56%
45%
YesNo

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

65%
36%
YesNo

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

63%
37%
YesNo
Closes: Jul 31, 2026

GTA VI released before June 2026?

VOL $12.8MLIQ $42.4K
2%
98%
YesNo
Closes: May 31, 2026

Starmer out by...?

VOL $10.1MLIQ $176.4K

Starmer out in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

45%
56%
YesNo

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

68%
33%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

VOL $5.6MLIQ $130.9K

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?

0%
100%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

VOL $2.3MLIQ $38.6K

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

4%
96%
YesNo

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

13%
87%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2026

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

VOL $2.0MLIQ $4.7K

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31?

1%
99%
YesNo

Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?

28%
73%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2026

Ukraine election held by...?

VOL $2.0MLIQ $22.6K

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?

6%
95%
YesNo

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

17%
83%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Macron out by...?

VOL $1.9MLIQ $38.4K

Macron out in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

3%
97%
YesNo

Macron out by October 31, 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo
Closes: Jun 30, 2026

Ukraine election called by...?

VOL $1.4MLIQ $18.1K

Ukraine election called in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

11%
89%
YesNo

Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?

1%
99%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

VOL $1.3MLIQ $30.9K

Kraken IPO in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

0%
100%
YesNo

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

37%
64%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

UK election called by...?

VOL $737.9KLIQ $4.1K

Will the next UK election be called by March 31?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will the next UK election be called by December 31?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will the next UK election be called by June 30?

0%
100%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Harvey Weinstein prison time?

VOL $550.3KLIQ $14.9K

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

30%
70%
YesNo

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

18%
82%
YesNo

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

9%
92%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Will any country leave NATO by...?

VOL $415.8KLIQ $13.4K

Will any country leave NATO in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

4%
96%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

VOL $267.2KLIQ $20.0K

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?

5%
96%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

VOL $228.0KLIQ $9.7K

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?

1%
99%
YesNo

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

34%
66%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

China x India military clash by...?

VOL $212.6KLIQ $17.1K

China x India military clash by December 31?

0%
100%
YesNo

China x India military clash by June 30?

0%
100%
YesNo

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

19%
82%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

BitBoy convicted?

VOL $196.9KLIQ $8.0K
11%
89%
YesNo
Closes: Mar 31, 2026

Spain snap election called by...?

VOL $127.9KLIQ $7.3K

Spain snap election called in 2025?

0%
100%
YesNo

Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?

12%
89%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2025

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

VOL $90.5KLIQ $13.4K

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?

0%
100%
YesNo

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?

3%
98%
YesNo

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?

47%
54%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2026

Politics Markets

12 events
Sort

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

VOL $910.6MLIQ $43.4M

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%
99%
YesNo

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

2%
98%
YesNo

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%
99%
YesNo
Closes: Nov 7, 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

VOL $471.1MLIQ $28.1M

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

2%
98%
YesNo

Will Person AN win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

50%
50%
YesNo

Will Person CX win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

50%
50%
YesNo
Closes: Nov 7, 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

VOL $452.3MLIQ $30.4M

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1%
99%
YesNo

Will Person BG win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

50%
50%
YesNo

Will Person CZ win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

50%
50%
YesNo
Closes: Nov 7, 2028

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

VOL $366.9MLIQ $46.2M

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

15%
85%
YesNo

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

1%
99%
YesNo
Closes: Jul 20, 2026

English Premier League Winner

VOL $311.7MLIQ $5.0M

Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will Club A win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

50%
50%
YesNo
Closes: May 27, 2026

2026 NBA Champion

VOL $250.9MLIQ $14.6M

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

39%
62%
YesNo

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

2%
98%
YesNo

Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?

0%
100%
YesNo
Closes: Jul 1, 2026

UEFA Champions League Winner

VOL $218.5MLIQ $4.8M

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

10%
91%
YesNo

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

28%
73%
YesNo

Will Nice win the 2025–26 Champions League?

0%
100%
YesNo
Closes: May 31, 2026

La Liga Winner

VOL $100.2MLIQ $1.3M

Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?

0%
100%
YesNo
Closes: May 30, 2026

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

VOL $77.1MLIQ $1.1M

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

14%
87%
YesNo

Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

1%
99%
YesNo

Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

0%
100%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2026

What price will Bitcoin hit in March?

VOL $76.7MLIQ $7.7M

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?

0%
100%
YesNo

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?

0%
100%
YesNo
Closes: Apr 1, 2026

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?

VOL $69.9MLIQ $2.4M

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

5%
96%
YesNo

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

8%
92%
YesNo

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

32%
68%
YesNo
Closes: Mar 31, 2026

Netanyahu out by...?

VOL $69.1MLIQ $2.6M

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

52%
49%
YesNo

Netanyahu out by March 31?

1%
99%
YesNo

Netanyahu out by June 30?

11%
90%
YesNo
Closes: Dec 31, 2026

Data from Polymarket. Prices reflect market probability.